Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.206616 0.239091 0.274976 0.317569 0.366751 0.421769 0.488006
2025-09-21 0.152198 0.194838 0.246840 0.314926 0.401766 0.508899 0.651262
2025-09-28 0.124962 0.171588 0.232474 0.317813 0.434432 0.588403 0.807513
2025-10-05 0.110890 0.161229 0.230735 0.333724 0.482611 0.690368 1.003010
2025-10-12 0.098921 0.151135 0.226800 0.344448 0.523024 0.784438 1.197342
2025-10-19 0.088904 0.141993 0.222323 0.352729 0.559495 0.875430 1.396549
2025-10-26 0.079615 0.132415 0.215527 0.355869 0.587434 0.955380 1.586790
2025-11-02 0.070453 0.121661 0.205268 0.351694 0.602382 1.015413 1.750663
2025-11-09 0.061432 0.109879 0.191732 0.340072 0.602961 1.051034 1.876518
2025-11-16 0.056934 0.105264 0.189594 0.347424 0.636384 1.144878 2.112464
2025-11-23 0.052211 0.099616 0.184901 0.349473 0.660229 1.223907 2.329933
2025-11-30 0.048508 0.095365 0.182159 0.354591 0.689915 1.315967 2.580835
2025-12-07 0.043527 0.088177 0.173330 0.347509 0.696351 1.366726 2.761366
2025-12-14 0.039612 0.082625 0.167020 0.344622 0.710669 1.434172 2.982869
2025-12-21 0.036807 0.078961 0.163958 0.347781 0.737239 1.528107 3.268037
2025-12-28 0.035694 0.078673 0.167645 0.365191 0.794990 1.690796 3.714314
2026-01-04 0.034112 0.077181 0.168634 0.376925 0.841894 1.835711 4.138695
2026-01-11 0.032421 0.075240 0.168432 0.385986 0.883872 1.974328 4.564578
2026-01-18 0.030423 0.072367 0.165863 0.389422 0.913573 2.089073 4.949277
2026-01-25 0.028019 0.068267 0.160097 0.384854 0.924362 2.162514 5.246481
2026-02-01 0.025294 0.063084 0.151288 0.372136 0.914562 2.187693 5.431939
2026-02-08 0.024169 0.061666 0.151140 0.380181 0.955421 2.335399 5.930817
2026-02-15 0.022774 0.059413 0.148747 0.382423 0.982235 2.452192 6.365943